Chokepoint & Space-Power Simulator
A structured reasoning tool for weighing pressure across the maritime chokepoints and the emerging orbital commons. Adjust the stress dials and observe how a composite strain index shifts — a thinking aid distilled from KBA13 Insight’s geopolitics writing, not a forecast.
Pressure Dials
Set each factor from 0 (calm) to 100 (acute). Weights reflect relative leverage over global flow.
Composite Strain Index
Reference Scenarios
The panel highlights the scenario whose strain profile most resembles your current settings.
How this reasons
Six factors are combined into a weighted composite. Maritime and orbital chokepoints share a logic: a narrow passage concentrates value, so small disruptions cascade. The index makes that concentration legible without pretending to predict events.
- Traffic concentration — how much global flow funnels through the passage.
- Naval / power posture — force presence and contested claims nearby.
- Diplomatic friction — tension among the states that gate access.
- Economic dependency — how exposed importers are to interruption.
- Orbital / cyber overlay — space and information layers that now shadow every strait.
- Redundancy deficit — absence of viable alternative routes.
Read it responsibly
This simulator invents no actors, dates, or probabilities. It is a lens for arranging assumptions you already hold, so disagreements become explicit and debatable.