KBA13 Insight Regional Update: Southeast Asia Under Pressure (Hormuz Shock, ASEAN Crisis, Myanmar, Indonesia, and the South China Sea in 2026)

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Southeast Asia enters May 2026 under simultaneous strategic pressure: the Hormuz energy shock, ASEAN’s institutional fragility, Myanmar’s deepening crisis, the Philippines’ domestic political rupture, Indonesia’s multi-alignment gamble, and the unresolved confrontation in the South China Sea. This KBA13 Insight Update reads the region not as a collection of separate national crises, but as a single strategic theatre where energy, sovereignty, maritime order, digital governance, and great-power competition are converging.

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